Art of Contrary Thinking

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I found that to be true.

Martin Beverley - The Art of Persuasion - APG Noisy Thinking

To read his book is like reading on the art of playing golf. Where golf requires one to develop motor skills, contrarian thinking requires a reorientation of our cognitive skills, to know when to accept social norms and when to separate from them. Neill specializes in economic and political trends.

The Art of Contrary Thinking: Humphrey Neill - 1954

He observes that while the public is right more times than it is wrong during trends; it is always wrong at the beginning and the end of trends. This can be explained by realizing that trends are driven by an accumulation of participants with time. Once trends run out of new participants, they go into reversal. The average investor does not think and does not wish to think.

Thinking requires prospecting for undervalued investments. Recognize that the crowd is wrong at market turns; tops are marked by high volumes, and bottoms marked by low volumes.

The Art of Contrary Thinking.

When everyone wants to buy, you want to sell. When everyone wants to sell, you should buy from them.

  • The Norman Conquest of Southern Italy and Sicily.
  • First Shot - USS Ward vs. the Midget Sub (Year One - Pacific - Aerial Combat from Pearl Harbor to Guadalcanal).
  • Jess Carter and the Oil Boat.

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The Art of Contrary Thinking, Book by Humphrey B. Neill (Paperback) |

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